BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Central Arkansas

Class: 1B Class Rank: 30 Conference: Western Athletic Conference Record: (3-4) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =   74.87

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Away    L    49.31  21  40   1A 120 (  2- 10) Arkansas St           -25.14      6.14                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    L    78.79  34  43   1B   7 (  8-  4) Missouri St             4.34    -13.34                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    W    66.06  45  23   1B 122 (  2-  9) Arkansas-Pine Bluff    -8.39     30.39                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    L *  77.77  35  45   1B   4 ( 10-  0) Sam Houston St          3.32    -13.32                      
  5 10/02/2021 Away    W *  94.16  42  21   1B  46 (  5-  6) Abilene Christian      19.71      1.29                      
  6 10/16/2021 Home    L *  68.25  35  38   1B  31 (  7-  4) Eastern Kentucky       -6.20      3.20                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    W *  63.52  49  38   1B 120 (  2-  9) Lamar                 -10.93     21.93                      
  8 10/30/2021 Away    W *  95.49  38  14   1B  48 (  5-  6) Jacksonville St        21.04      2.96                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    W   113.45  63   3   NA  42 (  7-  3) Texas Wesleyan         39.00     21.00                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    L *  64.76  14  27   1B  16 (  8-  4) Stephen F. Austin      -9.69     -3.31                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L *  51.99   3  24   1B  45 (  6-  5) Tarleton St           -22.46      1.46                      
      Averages              74.87  34.5 28.7

Best game:  113.45 = 60 point win over Texas Wesleyan
Worst game:  49.31 = 19 point loss to Arkansas St
Team stdev:  19.59